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Case Study // HVAC Pricing

AC Replacement in Arizona:
How Local HVAC Companies Become the AI-Cited Authority on Pricing

Designed to earn AI citations for AC replacement cost queries and route Arizona homeowners to estimate requests.

*Client name changed for privacy

The Query That Starts Every Sale

"How much does it cost to replace an AC unit?"

Arizona homeowners search this thousands of times per month. It's the first question before they call anyone. Before they get three quotes. Before they decide who to trust.

AI is answering this question right now.

The question is: Is it citing you?

AI Citation AnalysisAC_REPLACEMENT_ARIZONA
Before AEO
AI RESPONSE:
"AC replacement costs $3,500 to $7,500 on average. Factors include unit size, brand, and labor costs."
SOURCES CITED:
Forbes Home
Angi
HomeAdvisor
GENERIC
National Only
After AEO
AI RESPONSE:
"In Phoenix, Arizona, AC replacement typically costs $5,800 to $12,500 due to larger tonnage requirements (4–5 tons), SEER2 ratings, and seasonal labor pricing."
SOURCES CITED:
Desert Air Pros ✓
Arizona HVAC Guide ✓
LocalCooling.com ✓
LOCAL
Arizona Cited

AI Citation Analysis: Before vs After

Baseline Analysis

What AI Is Currently Saying

We ran this query through ChatGPT, Perplexity, and Google AI Overviews. Here's what comes back:

"The average cost to replace an AC unit is $3,500 to $7,500, depending on the size of the unit and complexity of installation."

Sources cited: Forbes Home, Angi, HomeAdvisor, Fixr.

What's Missing:

  • No mention of Arizona's extreme climate requiring larger tonnage
  • No discussion of SEER2 ratings for desert efficiency
  • No local permit cost context (Maricopa County vs. Pima)
  • No acknowledgment of seasonal labor pricing (May–August surge)
  • No mention of ductwork condition in older Arizona homes
  • No local contractor cited — just national aggregator sites

This is the baseline. Generic. National. Not you.

Industry Credibility

HVAC Reality Check

This is where national advice falls apart — and where real HVAC expertise matters.

Tonnage Sizing Is Different Here

A 2,000 sq ft home in Ohio might need a 3-ton unit. That same home in Phoenix? 4 to 5 tons. Arizona's 115°F summers demand more capacity. Undersizing means the system runs constantly, burns out faster, and never hits setpoint.

Ductwork Condition Matters More

Older homes in Sun City, Scottsdale, and Tempe often have original ductwork — 30+ years old, poorly sealed, running through 150°F attics. High static pressure kills efficiency. Sometimes the ducts need work before the new unit makes sense.

SEER2 Isn't Just a Sticker

National content throws around "14 SEER minimum." But in Arizona, 16+ SEER2 units pay for themselves faster because of sheer runtime hours. Variable-speed compressors outperform single-stage here — not because they're fancy, but because they're running 8+ hours a day in July.

Permits Aren't Optional

Maricopa County requires permits for HVAC replacements. Pima County has different rules. Homeowners don't know this. The contractors who mention it build trust. The ones who skip it get flagged later.

Labor Pricing Swings 20–30%

Every HVAC contractor in Arizona knows: May through August is chaos. Emergency no-cool calls stack up. Install crews are maxed. Pricing reflects that. Homeowners who replace in October or March often save $500–$1,000 on the same job.

Panel Upgrades Are Real

Older Arizona homes (pre-1990s) often have 100A electrical panels. Modern high-efficiency units with variable-speed compressors may require a 200A upgrade. That's a $1,500–$2,500 add-on most national content never mentions.

This is what HVAC people know. It's not in the Forbes article. It's not in the Angi guide. And it's definitely not in the AI answer — yet.

AEO Execution

How We Made Desert Air Pros Citable

We rebuilt their AC replacement cost page from the ground up using AEO-native principles.

Answer-First Structure

The page leads with the direct answer: "In Arizona, AC replacement typically costs $5,800 to $12,500, depending on tonnage, SEER2 rating, ductwork condition, and permit requirements." No fluff. No "it depends" without specifics. The AI can extract this cleanly.

Citation Formatting

Every key claim is structured for extraction: Short, declarative sentences. Specific numbers and ranges. Geographic context in the first 100 words. No jargon without explanation.

Schema Stack

We implemented FAQPage (targeting PAA questions), LocalBusiness (reinforcing Phoenix/Arizona entity signals), Service (AC replacement as a defined service with price range), and HowTo (installation process steps for rich results).

Internal Linking to Hubs

The page connects to /hvac-services/ (service hub), /ac-replacement-arizona/ (geo-service page), and /hvac-aeo/ (authority hub). This builds topical depth and signals expertise to both search engines and AI models.

Entity Reinforcement

"Desert Air Pros" + "Phoenix" + "AC replacement" appears in: Title tag, H1, First paragraph, Schema LocalBusiness name, and Image alt text. The AI now associates this brand with this query in this location.

Proof Artifacts

The Evidence

PAA Questions Targeted

These are the "People Also Ask" questions we built content to answer:

How much is a new AC unit in Arizona?

What size AC do I need for 2,000 sq ft in Phoenix?

What SEER rating is best for Arizona?

How long does an AC unit last in Arizona heat?

Do I need a permit to replace my AC in Phoenix?

Is it cheaper to replace AC in winter?

What's the difference between single-stage and variable-speed AC?

Do I need to upgrade my electrical panel for a new AC?

Each question has a dedicated answer block on the page, formatted for extraction.

Citation Readiness Checklist

What makes a page citable by AI:

Direct answer in first 100 words
Specific price range with context
Geographic specificity (city/state)
Technical accuracy (SEER2, tonnage, permits)
Schema markup (FAQPage, LocalBusiness, Service)
Internal links to topical hubs
No paywalls or gated content
Mobile-friendly, fast-loading
Author/brand entity signals

Query Map: Related Searches

Query Ecosystem MapAC_REPLACEMENT_COST
"How much does it cost to replace an AC unit?"
AC replacement cost Phoenix
AC installation cost Arizona
4 ton AC unit installed price
SEER2 vs SEER cost difference
AC replacement cost 2024
Cheapest time to replace AC
AC replacement permit Phoenix
Ductwork replacement cost AZ
Variable speed AC cost
Each branch = content opportunity

Each branch is a content opportunity. Each answer reinforces the hub.

Replication Plan

This Isn't a One-Page Play

It's a system. Here's how it scales across 50 HVAC pricing questions in 5 Arizona cities.

City
Core Query
Supporting Queries
Phoenix
AC replacement cost Phoenix
tonnage, SEER2, permits, seasonal pricing
Tucson
AC replacement cost Tucson
older homes, duct condition, Pima County permits
Mesa
AC replacement cost Mesa
new construction, builder-grade upgrades
Scottsdale
AC replacement cost Scottsdale
high-end installs, variable-speed, whole-home
Chandler
AC replacement cost Chandler
family homes, sizing for 2,500+ sq ft

50 queries. 5 cities. 1 system.

Free AEO Audit

Is AI Citing Your Competitors Instead of You?

Right now, AI is answering HVAC questions in your market. It's pulling from Forbes, Angi, and HomeAdvisor — not from local contractors who actually do the work.

That's a problem. But it's fixable.

Get a free AEO audit and see exactly where you're losing visibility. We'll show you:

Which queries AI is answering in your market
Who's currently getting cited (and why)
What it takes to become the local authority